A well-known brokerage firm executive claimed that 20% of investors are currently confident of meeting their investment goals. An XYZ Investor Optimism Survey, conducted over a two week period, found that in a sample of 500 people, 14% of them said they are confident of meeting their goals.

Test the claim that the proportion of people who are confident is smaller than 20% at the 0.025 significance level.

The null and alternative hypothesis would be:









The test is:






The test statistic is: (to 3 decimals)

The p-value is: (to 4 decimals)

Based on this we: