Populations that can be modeled by the modified logistic equation

dPdt=P(bPa)\displaystyle \frac{{{d}{P}}}{{{\left.{d}{t}\right.}}}={P}{\left({b}{P}-{a}\right)}

can either trend toward extinction or exhibit unbounded growth in finite time, depending on the initial population size. If b=0.005\displaystyle {b}={0.005} and a=0.5\displaystyle {a}={0.5}, use phase portrait analysis to determine which of the two limiting behaviors will be exhibited by populations with the indicated initial sizes.

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  1. Doomsday scenario: Population will exhibit unbounded growth in finite time
  2. Population will trend towards extinction
 


There is also a constant equilibrium solution for the population. Find this solution (note that the solution often is not a whole number, and hence unrealistic for population modeling).

P(t)=\displaystyle {P}{\left({t}\right)}=  

Solve the modified logistic equation using the values of a\displaystyle {a} and b\displaystyle {b} given above, and an initial population of P(0)=243\displaystyle {P}{\left({0}\right)}={243}.

P(t)=\displaystyle {P}{\left({t}\right)}=  

Find the time T\displaystyle {T} such that P(t)\displaystyle {P}{\left({t}\right)}\rightarrow\infty as tT\displaystyle {t}\rightarrow{T}.

T=\displaystyle {T}=